Researches

11.06.2024

D-DAY remembrance. What have we learned and where do we go from here?

In this overview it is intended to outline the several critical actions that will take place before the end of the year, not just from the results of many elections taking place in Europe, UK and, most important, the US in October. They could well give a surprise. Whatever, the rest of the decade is likely to show some differences.

06.06.2024

European elections 2024: Choosing between war and peace

Analysts believe that the upcoming European elections are decisive for the future of the EU. Without comprehensive reform, the EU cannot survive long-term and overcome its internal crisis. The current approach to leading the EU is outdated. The question of migrants and asylum policy must not sow discord within the EU but rather serve as a catalyst for unity in finding suitable solutions. A unified external and defence policy is indispensable for the EU's ongoing evolution.

31.05.2024

Serbia 2024: Can 'injections' of foreign money influence the election results?

Analysts believe that the upcoming elections represent the last chance to overthrow Aleksandar Vučić's (SNS) government through a "special operation" in Belgrade with the assistance of part of foreign entities, as Belgrade, the capital city, is a crucial pillar for wielding power in Serbia.

30.05.2024

A Mujahid’s dilemma: Tracing foreign terrorist fighters’ influx post-the Taliban’s rule in Afghanistan

Terror threats emanating from Afghanistan may potentially increase in 2024 as foreign terrorists’ transit into Afghanistan after being inspired not just by the Taliban’s takeover of Kabul but the on-going Israel-Hamas war, instilling refueling their objectives, which were largely forgotten after Islamic State demise in Syria & Iraq. For 2024, Afghanistan may certainly become a theatre delivering much surprise.

25.05.2024

Serbia 2024: Electoral struggle for Belgrade - Is the opposition seeking power without elections?

Analysts believe that the upcoming local elections transcend the usual local significance. Political parties should ascend to and descend from power solely through elections, as they validate their strength and support, rather than through other means. Boycotting elections entails evading direct interaction with voters, casting doubt on their actual support among the electorate.

19.05.2024

In 2024, democracy is on the ballot.

American voters must understand that we are the ones who must keep our system intact while also keeping in mind the impacts these elections will have beyond our borders as the great advocates and defenders of democracy in the world. We have the power, and that power is in our vote.

15.05.2024

The complete end of China’s “Reform and Open-Door Policy” as a protracted NEP: a warning against optimism

The world now faces growing uncertainty about the impact of China’s on-going bubble burst on the evolving global international relations. First, the optimistic scenario is that the burst will overall be isolated in the world economy only to lead to the collapse of communist China. The scenario entails the international security problem that the U.S.-led West might have to deter and, if necessary, defeat China’s aggression aimed to divert socio-economic contradictions and popular discontent....

09.05.2024

Towards a possible peace in the South Caucasus?

The Kazakh initiative takes place in a complex global geopolitical situation, unlike any seen in the decades since the outbreak of the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan. This complexity will also influence the course and even the outcome of the negotiations.

07.05.2024

Presidential and parliamentary elections in the Republic of North Macedonia 2024: Return to neo-Gruevizm?

VMRO-DPMNE opposes the constitutional name of the Republic of North Macedonia and advocates for the annulment of signed international agreements, especially the Prespa Agreement. However, the country has achieved historic milestones such as NATO membership and the recognition of the autocephaly of the Macedonian Orthodox Church – Ohrid Archbishopric (MPC-OA). Over the past seven years, there has been a notable absence of significant inter-ethnic incidents.

04.05.2024

The Israeli – Palestine War (5.)

In the meantime, while eyes are turned to overseas or to Rafah, the right- wing settlers are pushing the Palestinians back, burning homes and destroying livelihoods in the West Bank. The police and soldiers, who are supposed to be keeping the peace, are standing by and watching. Unforgiveable! One cannot understand that this is permitted to happen.

30.04.2024

On the State of Play of Multilateralism and New, comprehensive Terminology

All this is hardly good news for a revival of multilateralism, the (urgent) call for omnilateralism, (cooperative) diplomacy, and the applicability of universal norms.

25.04.2024

Finance - Mass destruction weapon? Sanctions: intentions and results

It can thus be concluded that economic sanctions are not a foolproof instrument, and their results can vary depending on several factors, such as the political context, the level of international support, and the resilience capacity of the target. In the end, the effectiveness of economic sanctions depends on careful planning and implementation, accompanied by as broad international support and involvement as possible, and the resolution of global crises and conflicts.