Researches

28.06.2025

The NATO Meeting in The Hague and the Latest Developments in the International Security Environment: Conclusions and Lessons for Military and Intelligence Services

The NATO meeting in The Hague in 2025 was significantly influenced by the U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, which amplified global tensions and highlighted the fragility of international security. The decisions taken, from strengthening collective defense to intensifying intelligence cooperation, reflect NATO’s efforts to adapt to a volatile strategic environment. The Hague meeting reaffirms NATO as a cornerstone of Euro-Atlantic security.

24.06.2025

Belarus – UAE 2025: Synergy of two visionary leaders: Strategic partnership between Belarus and the United Arab Emirates

The UAE sees Belarus as an important partner for accessing the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) market, as well as a strategically positioned gateway in the heart of Eastern Europe. Belarus, under sanctions imposed by Western countries, is seeking partners beyond the Western world to diversify its investment, trade, and political relations. For Minsk, the UAE is an attractive partner due to its access to capital, neutral stance on political issues, and long-term development vision

23.06.2025

UN Ocean Conference, Small Island and Archipelagic nations revisiting the spirit of Belgrade of 1961

The oceans are not simply blue frontiers. They are connective tissues of human civilization—lifelines for nations whose survival, identity, and continuity are shaped by their intimate proximity to the sea. Nowhere is this more palpable than among the small island developing states (SIDS), and the extensive coastline and archipelagic countries of the developing world.

19.06.2025

Serbia 2025: How can Serbia overcome the current situation?

Analysts argue that Serbia must step up its efforts toward EU membership, with the opening of Cluster III in the accession negotiations expected to support that process. Serbia has all the potential to remain the driving force of European integration in the Western Balkans and to conclude accession negotiations with the EU in 2027—a year that represents a turning point in Serbia’s modern socio-political and economic development.

16.06.2025

AI, Power, and Responsibility: Understanding the Stakes in a Changing World

As I explore in more detail in my recent book, See How They Run, leadership today demands both foresight and humility. We have a choice. We can treat AI as an opaque force that simply happens to us. Or we can understand it, shape it, and guide it in accordance with our deepest values. Let this be the moment we choose understanding over ignorance, governance over chaos, and humanity over hubris.

11.06.2025

Diversifying Europe's Gas Supply: The Geopolitical Stakes of the Trans-Caspian Pipeline

As the numerous previous IFIMES studies found out, very future of the Trans-Caspian Pipeline depends on a complex interplay of international, regional, economic, and environmental factors. While Europe’s drive for energy decoupling pulls the project forward, geopolitical pressure from inner Eurasia actors like Russia and Iran; peripheral like China, India, GCC or the EU; or the external like EFTA, USA, and the like will remain an oscillatory challenge.

05.06.2025

Unpredictable world

Europe, worrying about the future, between the US withdrawing from NATO and Russian re-assertion have had to really think about what it had to do for the security of Europe. The US had a point when evaluating the cost of NATO over the years and the disproportionate amount which they had to pay compared with the European contribution. European countries, France and Germany to the fore, and Britain, have taken up the matter seriously and Europe is meeting to discuss security and defence requirements...

03.06.2025

NATO Parliamentary Assembly 2025: Clear messages from Dayton to the political leadership of the Western Balkans: The territorial integrity and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina is beyond question

Dragan Čović and HDZ have no legitimate grounds to block BiH’s path to the EU by disregarding the new parliamentary majority and shielding Milorad Dodik and the SNSD. The new majority would allow BiH’s EU integration process to be unblocked and pave the way for a range of reforms. A final ruling by the Court of BiH on Dodik’s appeal is expected soon. If the first-instance verdict is upheld, he will be barred from political activity, and the CEC is expected to revoke his mandate as President of RS.

28.05.2025

The Lost Generations of the Virtual Union

EU is gone or at least that it will be gone in the foreseeable future, we can only ask ourselves what is next for us. Is it a return to the dark past of the 1990s or an even more terrifying return to the nineteenth century when the borders of the great empires will once again expand in the Balkans and the spears of discord will once again be broken here, and we all serve them only as a coin for change. At the moment this text is being written, May 28, we can definitely say: Europe, thank you for nothing.

26.05.2025

Belarus 2025: Eurasia – an arena of emerging strategic partnerships

In the context of ongoing global transformations — which have coincided with the inauguration of the new US administration under Donald Trump — it would be reasonable to examine the recent wave of accelerated developments: the expansion of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation to the borders of the European Union via Belarus’s accession; the UK–Ukraine agreement; the US–Armenia strategic partnership; the Russia–Iran agreement of 17 January 2025; and the China–Iran partnership agreement signed in 2021.

22.05.2025

Peeping into the evolving world order after hegemony: A Copernican Revolution

The current mainstream European and Japanese political leaders and policy elites have been accustomed and, probably, obsessed to adhere to the liberal international order. Should Europe and Japan dare to restore the status quo ante, they would exhaust their power capacity and fail to become constitutive plays of a next multipolar system. This means that such a system would consist of four great powers--the United States, China, Russia, and perhaps, India.

12.05.2025

Shifting Beyond the Global North: The Data Driving AI is Not Fit for Purpose – The OSCE's Role in Promoting Human-Centric Outreach and Strong Community Frameworks Beyond Its Network

As the role of artificial intelligence (AI) in peacebuilding grows, so too does the need to address the fundamental biases embedded within the data that drive AI systems. Currently, over 90% of AI training datasets are sourced from Europe and North America, yet the majority of global conflicts occur outside these regions. This disparity creates a critical challenge: AI systems trained on data that reflects the Global North often fail to account for the realities of conflict in the Global South.