Predicting Taliban’s grip on power in Afghanistan for FY 2024-25

No scenario can predict the collapse/capitulation of the Taliban regime or the potency of a civil war in years to come. As international support for anti-Taliban resistance groups fosters, the authors predict the Taliban regime to remain in power in the near foreseeable future. Although the presence of New Delhi in Kabul is widely appreciated by roughly all Taliban ranks, sustained engagement with the Taliban via regional dialogue could keep a check on the Taliban’s governance in the country.