Researches

26.08.2026

Kazakhstan 2026: From Semipalatinsk to Global Nuclear Diplomacy

The year 2026 holds a special place in Kazakhstan’s history, marking three significant anniversaries: 35 years since the closure of the Semipalatinsk Nuclear Test Site, 30 years since the CTBT was opened for signature, and 20 years since the signing of the Treaty on a Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone in Central Asia. Together, they reflect Kazakhstan’s transformation from a country marked by the nuclear arms race into a strong advocate of nuclear disarmament, non-proliferation, and international security.

25.08.2026

Kyrgyzstan 2026: A new strategic hub between Central Asia and the Western Balkans

Contemporary Kyrgyzstan under President Sadyr Japarov demonstrates how a medium-sized state can transform geography into strategic advantage. Through multi-vector sovereignty, Bishkek is balancing global powers, strengthening state capacity, attracting investment and positioning Kyrgyzstan as a key hub of Eurasian connectivity.

22.08.2026

Reviving Multilateralism in the Era of Global Disorder

Ambassador Lamberto Zannier’s article examines the erosion of multilateralism and argues for renewed, inclusive regional dialogue, using the OSCE model and an Oman-led Gulf process as practical pathways toward greater cooperation, conflict management and long-term stability.

20.08.2026

Kazakhstan on the threshold of a new political phase

The Kurultai elections are of historical significance as part of Kazakhstan’s broader political, economic, technological and social renewal. They represent the next stage of the country’s institutional transformation. The true test of the reform will be whether the new institutions strengthen political accountability, meaningful pluralism and citizen participation in decision-making.

19.08.2026

Beyond the Frontline: The Two Strategic Ecosystems of the War in Ukraine – Who Sustains Russia and Ukraine—and How—in a War of Attrition

The West holds greater long-term advantages in economic resources, technology, industry and institutions, while Russia benefits from centralized decision-making, coordination and rapid adaptation. Ultimately, the war’s outcome will depend on each side’s ability to sustain political cohesion, industrial regeneration and strategic resolve, while shifts in key actors’ interests could decisively shape its duration and outcome.

17.08.2026

The European Commission and the European Parliament on Serbia: Why do their assessments differ?

Zelenskyy’s visit to Belgrade could signal a new phase in Serbia–EU relations. If followed by concrete reforms, alignment with EU foreign policy and progress on Kosovo, the EU should accelerate accession talks. Serbia must demonstrate a sustained strategic shift, while the EU should reward genuine progress with tangible steps.

14.08.2026

Bosnia and Herzegovina 2026: Between political recycling and democratic renewal

The 2026 General Elections will test Bosnia and Herzegovina’s political maturity, institutional resilience and European future. They will show whether citizens can break three decades of ethnic obstruction, vote buying and political clientelism and choose accountable government, stronger institutions, the rule of law and faster progress towards Europe.

12.08.2026

Can the Gulf States Achieve Sustainable Peace and Regional Stability? Strategic Assessment of the Emerging Gulf Security Architecture

The Muscat Process offers a pragmatic response to the Gulf’s changing strategic environment. Inspired by the CSCE, it seeks to turn dialogue into cooperation and lay the foundations for a regionally owned, internationally supported security architecture. Its message is clear: effective statecraft anticipates challenges. The Gulf should not wait for the perfect moment—it needs a process capable of creating one.

10.08.2026

The Makkah Agreement and the New Security Architecture of the Middle East

The Makkah Agreement is not yet an “Islamic NATO”, but it signals a decisive shift toward regional self-reliance. Its future significance will depend on whether political solidarity becomes institutionalised through joint planning, intelligence, interoperability and credible collective action.

08.08.2026

Global Geopolitics in Transition: Climate, Conflict and the Search for Peace

The analysis explores a world in profound geopolitical transformation, where climate change, conflicts in Ukraine, Myanmar, Gaza and Iran, alongside shifting global power dynamics, are redefining international relations and challenging the effectiveness of global leadership. It underscores the fragile prospects for peace in the Middle East and highlights the necessity of sustained diplomacy, regional engagement and long-term strategic commitment to overcoming complex and interconnected crises.

05.08.2026

The Emerging Endgame of the Russo-Ukrainian War

The Russo-Ukrainian War is a conflict of strategic attrition, shaped by military, demographic, and industrial realities rather than battlefield breakthroughs alone. Ukraine’s demographic pressures, reduced US support, and Europe’s growing burden expose structural limits that technology cannot offset. The war’s trajectory suggests that its outcome will ultimately be determined by political decisions, with a cease-fire, frozen conflict, or settlement becoming clearer by the end of 2026.

03.08.2026

Morocco 2030: Building Africa’s Atlantic Gateway – From Tanger Med to a New Geopolitical Corridor

Morocco’s strategy stands apart from Africa’s major infrastructure projects. Unlike corridors linking one coast to its hinterland, Morocco creates a continuous route from the Mediterranean through the Atlantic to the Sahel—an ambitious vision requiring integrated governance beyond any single port.